Monday, 7 July 2014

When China wakes up, the world will shake


 

The above quotation which is attributed to Napoleon during his exile at St Helena is almost 200 years old. It was an extremely prescient view and certainly resonates today.

During the last decade we all saw the results of the dynamic Chinese export programme as goods poured into the US and EU markets.

Latest figures show that China's manufacturing activity grew at its fastest pace for six months in June, suggesting that recent stimulus moves have started to have an impact.

China's economy expanded at an annual rate of 7.4% in the January to March period, from a year ago, down from 7.7% growth in the final quarter of last year.

There has been a marked step up in acquisition of assets following the recent economic problems particularly in the US.

However there is another factor emerging as China steps up its demand for raw materials particularly agri commodities.

The burgeoning Chinese middle class will continue to demand products which traditionally consumed in the Western world.

As dietary patterns change this will lead to upward price pressure in all sectors of the food industry.

This demand will only continue to grow and it will surely become a case in the Western world of “wake up and smell the Coffee” – whilst you can.

 

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