For a few decades in the 19th century British
manufactured goods dominated world trade.
Most mass manufactured items were produced more
efficiently and competitively in Britain than elsewhere.
At the height of its imperial prowess Britain also had
the commercial, financial and political power to edge out rivals at home and
abroad.
In some industries, most notably textiles, massive
changes took place in technology and in the organisation of production causing
dramatic productivity growth. This in turn brought a steep decline in prices
For other sectors more modest organisational improvements
coupled with greater specialisation and the employment of cheap labour brought
similar, though less dramatic, results.
An unprecedented range and variety of products thus came
within the grasp of a new mass market both within Britain and overseas.
Fast forward just over 100 years and all of the above
factors can be applied to the Chinese economy.
But
just as with Britain after an unparalleled boom there is a period of pausing.
New export orders are contracting, suggesting external demand for China's exporters remains weak.
The true picture is that not only is China's export sector slowing down, but its manufacturing sector is also slowing down. That means the trade surplus is almost gone.
This week Beijing reported the biggest slowdown in investment for more than a decade and the slowest retail sales expansion for nine years resulting in a general revision by analysts in first quarter growth to 7.2%
After a decade of spectacular growth the Dragon is now pausing to catch its breath.
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