Thursday, 16 January 2014

Now Chinese banks come under closer scrutiny



We have become accustomed to the growing trend in companies to camouflage poor performance with deliberate misreporting and suspect off-balance sheet shenanigans.

 

The Chinese authorities have taken cognisance of this and China's major banks have been asked to publish data on 12 key indicators, including off balance sheet assets.

Chinese banks - especially the big four state-owned lenders - played a key role in keeping the country's growth momentum going in the years following the global financial crisis.

They lent record sums of money in an attempt to sustain China's high growth rate.

There are now fears that some investments have turned out badly and that banks may not be able to recover those loans.

The concern among many is that a rise in loan defaults would not only hurt the country's banking sector, but also have a big impact on its overall growth.

While the reports of bad loans at China's banks account for less 1% of total lending, some analysts are sceptical and feel that banks were either rolling over such loans or even restructuring them to try and keep the reported figure low. A not unfamiliar banking practice.

 

As evidenced previously some of the most spectacular financial flame outs have followed a period of ostensibly highly successful trading. In the desire to recognise these “profits” no thought were given as to how they were being made.

The Chinese authorities have now decided that it is a worthwhile exercise to look under a few stones – just in case.

 

 

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