The impact
of the French Revolution? - “too early to say.”
This was the response from Zhou Enlai to questions in the early 1970s
about the popular revolt in France almost two centuries earlier.
The former premier’s
answer has become a frequently deployed cliché, used as evidence of the sage
Chinese ability to think long-term – in contrast to impatient westerners.
Fast forward to
today and the ability of the Chinese to play the long-game has never been in more
evidence.
In a single decade
from 2001 up to 2010 Chinese trade with the rest of the world increased from £325
billion to £1.9 trillion.
Since 2005 China has invested £320 billion across the globe with 75% of
this in developing countries. As the
world's second largest economy, the fastest growing economy in the G20 and with
more than a trillion dollars sitting in various sovereign wealth funds, China
has a pile of cash to invest.
There is an
insatiable demand for raw materials to fuel the economic growth in China and
commodities such as Oil, Minerals, Precious Metals and Fuel are all prime
targets.
China's demand for energy is expected to triple by 2030 so
countries with abundant natural resources will continue to attract the most
money from China.
Meantime the
ongoing crisis in Western economies has provided ample opportunity for China to
assert its economic strength and China has now usurped the US as the largest
foreign investor in Germany.
Chinese companies are investing in such diverse
areas as the French Wine industry and the UK’s nuclear fuel programme in
addition to making acquisitions in the US/European Food Industry and this will
undoubtedly continue as China accelerates its move into Western markets.
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