The Workshop of the World

For a few decades in the 19th century British manufactured goods dominated world trade.

Most mass manufactured items were produced more efficiently and competitively in Britain than elsewhere.

At the height of its imperial prowess Britain also had the commercial, financial and political power to edge out rivals at home and abroad.

In some industries, most notably textiles, massive changes took place in technology and in the organisation of production causing dramatic productivity growth. This in turn brought a steep decline in prices

For other sectors more modest organisational improvements coupled with greater specialisation and the employment of cheap labour brought similar, though less dramatic, results.

An unprecedented range and variety of products thus came within the grasp of a new mass market both within Britain and overseas.

Fast forward just over 100 years and all of the above factors can be applied to the Chinese economy.

But just as with Britain after an unparalleled boom there is a period of pausing, analysts have now concluded that the Chinese government's target of achieving 7.5% growth this year may be missed.

New export orders are contracting, suggesting external demand for China's exporters remains weak.

 

The true picture is that not only is China's export sector slowing down, but its manufacturing sector is also slowing down. That means the trade surplus is almost gone.

 

After a decade of spectacular growth the Dragon is now pausing to catch its breath.