There is a growing perception that bail outs organised by the EU are in
effect kicking the can down the road. For example Portugal
and Ireland are to be granted an extra seven years to pay back their emergency bailout
loans.
In its latest report reviewing the Irish bail-out, the IMF criticised
the "inadequate progress" of Irish banks.
There is particular concern that the Banks are failing to address non-performing
loans and tackling home repossessions.
The IMF also expressed concern that Irish banks are still losing money
even before putting cash aside to cover those bad loans.
As states such as Greece, Ireland and latterly Cyprus edged closer to
the precipice there was a general sense of relief that defaults had been
avoided and therefore the crisis was past.
As with all things in life there is also an element of wishful thinking,
in the case of Cyprus the extent of the problem was not fully recognised.
Latest analysis prepared by the country’s creditor’s forecasts
that the cost of the bailout has increased to 23 billion Euros compared with
the original costs which was put at 17.5 billion. This begs the question how
many other countries have under-estimated the scale of their economic problems.
It is an incontrovertible truth that unless the period of grace is used to
good effect then the problem will have merely been parked and will come back to
haunt.
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