Very often the best
indicators are the least sophisticated. The UK retail sector remains in a very
fragile state – the clearest evidence of this can be seen as you walk down any
High Street.
One in 10 retailers are
now classified as “zombie” businesses who find themselves in the precarious
position of servicing the interest on their debt but unable to repay the
capital.
Retailers are struggling
against the backdrop of poor Christmas sales and the adverse weather for the
first quarter of 2013 which has severely impacted on footfall.
At the same time the
rising number and popularity of charity shops tell underscore that many
families are struggling. Consumers struggle with debt and job insecurity.
As the knock on effect
percolate back down the chain many businesses will suffer.
These conditions will
lead to some extreme measures e.g. the recent demand from the owners of Laura
Ashley asking for “an immediate price reduction of 10% from suppliers” an
action which has been described as tantamount to “killing its own suppliers”.
External factors by definition are difficult
to handle but at the same time in-house disciplines can at least provide some
insulation.
Cash-flow will remain
difficult to manage so as always strict governance of Debtor and inventory
control will provide some measure of comfort.
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