Very often
the best indicators are the least sophisticated. The UK economy remains in a
very fragile state – the clearest evidence of this can be seen as you walk down
any High Street.
The rising
number and popularity of charity shops tell underscore that many families are
struggling whilst at the same time the spectre of Administration looms large.
The UK Chancellor may have to extend the squeeze on public spending
until 2018 if the recent deterioration in growth prospects and tax receipts
turns out to be permanent, a think tank has said.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said George Osborne may have to find
another £11bn from tax rises or spending cuts if the economy does not pick up.
With many
people continuing to struggle with debt and job insecurity it is hard to
imagine a return to the heady days of consumer excess.
As the
knock on effect percolate back down the chain many businesses will suffer.
External
factors by definition are difficult to handle but at the same time in-house
disciplines can at least provide some insulation.
Cash-flow
will be very difficult to manage over the coming months so as always strict
governance of Debtor and inventory control will provide some measure of
comfort.
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